Topic

Non-Consensus Bets

Latest viewpoints

AI research follows power-law dynamics

Altman compares AI research with startup investing, arguing that a small number of unusually successful ideas can matter far more than the rest and justify high-risk, high-upside bets.

Sam Altman Non-Consensus Bets Source at 12:02

Unconventional thinkers can produce outsized breakthroughs

Altman says strong founders and researchers often think differently from the prevailing consensus and maintain conviction in ideas that may look wrong but have exceptional upside if correct.

Sam Altman Non-Consensus Bets Source at 13:07

Leaders

Jensen Huang

CEO, Nvidia

Last interview Sep 2, 2026

Howard Lutnick

Public business viewpoint profile

Last interview Sep 2, 2026

Sam Altman

CEO, OpenAI

Last interview Sep 2, 2026

Elon Musk

CEO, SpaceX / Tesla

Last interview Sep 1, 2026

Julien Bek

Partner, Sequoia Capital

Last interview Aug 24, 2026

Thibault Sottiaux

Engineer, OpenAI

Last interview Aug 24, 2026

Matthew Berman

Influencer, Forward Future

Last interview Aug 24, 2026

David Senra

Podcaster, Senra Show

Last interview Aug 23, 2026

LeAnn Foster

Founder, EUTHENICS

Last interview Aug 22, 2026

Eric Ho

CEO, Goodfire

Last interview Aug 21, 2026